A comprehensive study by the Property Investment Professionals of Australia (PIPA) has revealsed how Australian property markets share the love around.
PIPA conducted a 30 year retrospective study of Australian capital city real estate to identify which cities were the hottest performers across each market cycle.
Chairman Peter Koulizos said that the research showed that no capital city market is the nation’s top performer indefinitely.
“The facts prove Aussie investors and home buyers over the past three decades have made solid returns across almost every capital city, depending on their ability to buy at the right time,” the chairman said.
For example, buyers who bought in Brisbane in 1988 were blown away by the gains over the next four years of that cycle, Mr Koulizos said.
“These owners saw the value of their asset double in less than half a decade, yet between 1993 and 1997, Brisbane was the country’s second worst-performing market,” the chairman said.
And for those who believe our biggest capitals are immune to cycles, think again, Mr Koulizos said. “From 2003 to 2007, Sydney and Melbourne were Australia’s worst two performing capitals, despite topping the table the previous five years.” he said.
“Of course, if you backed your judgement and bought in Sydney any time after 20-7, you’d be very happy with your decision now.”
Mr Koulizos said while long-term investors invariably come out ahead with Australian capital city real estate, the biggest gains were made by identifying markets that have bottomed and are set to improve.
“Of course, many buyers don’t have access to the information or experience needed to monitor and predict property cycles,” he said.
“Investors should seek independent qualified property investment advice to give themselves the best chance of getting the best returns on their money, as timing the property market can be just as important as time in the market,”
A Summary of Aussie Markets 1988 to 2017
Darwin had the worst five-year period with a decrease in house prices of 10.5% between 2013 to 2017.
This was due to the mining and resources bust.
Perth had the best five-year period with an increase of 139.8 percent between 2003 to 2007 due to the mining boom.
Brisbane, Darwin, Melbourne, Perth and Sydney have all been at the top of the property premiership table.
Darwin has topped the list twice but has also been at the bottom of the list twice.
Whilst Melbourne, Brisbane, and Perth have all topped the list at some stage; they have never collected the wooden spoon.
A cycle by cyle breakdown of Australian capitals:
1998 to 1992
Brisbane house prices almost double in value.
1993 to 1997
Brisbane was the second-worst performer, but it was the best performer five years previously.
Darwin was the best performer, but it was the second-worst performer five years previously.
Canberra house prices actually feel over this five-year period.
1998 to 2002
Darwin was the worst performer, but it was the best performer five years before.
2003 to 2007
Perth, Darwin and Hobart property prices more than doubled during this five-year period.
Sydney and Melbourne were the worst two performers, but they were the best two performers the five years previously.
2008 to 2012
Even though Darwin topped the list with a 36.8 per cent increase within this five year period, it pales into significance when you consider Perth topped the list the previous five-year period with a growth of 139.8 per cent.
2013 to 2017
Darwin property prices feel by 10.5 per cent.
Darwin was the worst performer, but it as the best performer five years previously.
Michael Yardney’s propertyupdate.com.au, 23 August 2018